Geo-Delphos

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En su primer mensaje a la Asamblea Federal (Parlamento), el Presidente de Rusia Dmitri Medvédev señalo que La Federación Rusa choca los últimos años con amenazas y retos como la edificación del sistema global de defensa antimisiles, el surgimiento de bases militares en su perímetro, una desenfrenada ampliación de la OTAN y con otros “obsequios”. No permitiremos que nos arrastren a la carrera armamentista, pero al mismo tiempo no podemos menos que considerar este factor en nuestra política de defensa”, declaró Medvédev, subrayando que “la seguridad de los ciudadanos de Rusia será garantizada”.

El conflicto en el Cáucaso fue utilizado como pretexto para emplazar buques de guerra de la OTAN en el mar Negro y su vez para reforzar la imposición a Europa del sistema de defensa antimisiles estadounidense, lo que conducirá a respuestas por parte de Rusia, señalo Medvédev.[/lang_es][lang_en]

The Russian President Mr. Dmitri Medvédev said in his first address to the Federal Assembly (parliament) “During the last years The Russian Federation collide against threats and challenges like the anti missile defense global system deployment, the growth of military bases on his perimeter, a frenetic increase of NATO and other “Gifts”. We will not permit to be dragged into an arms race, however we must consider this fact in our defense policy”.  He also pointed out that “ The Russian security will be guaranteed”

“The conflict in the Caucasus was used as a pretext to send NATO warships to the Black Sea and then to quickly thrust on Europe the need for deploying the U.S. anti-missile system,” replied Medvédev. 

The Russian President also announced that Russia will install “Iskander” Rockets in the province of Kaliningrad, Russian enclave over the Baltic Ocean which limits with Poland . To counter the U.S. anti missile defense shield in Europe Medvédev also said that Russia will use all the radioelectronic tools to neutralize from Kaliningrad, the new elements of the U.S. anti missile defense system deployed in Europe.

Washington and Warsaw sealed last 20 of August 2008 an agreement for a 10 interceptor missiles deployment in Poland. A few weeks before the U.S. had signed with the Czech Republic a similar agreement to install a radar in its territory.

“The news of the U.S. presidential election results shows that we can all hope for fresh approaches from the U.S. on all the most complex of issues, including foreign policy and relations with Russia,” Grigory Karasin Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs of Russia.

Denis McDonough Obama’ Campaign’s Foreign Policy Coordinator and Spokesman denied the Lech Kaczynski, Poland President´s version which states that  during a telephone conversation the new U.S. president has got a commitment to continue with the current plan of the president George W. Bush in terms to build an anti missile defense system in Poland.

Obama, during his electoral campaign said that he wants to review the Anti Missile Defense System Project for Central Europe in terms to make sure that it will be effective and it will not have Russia as an objective.

Nevertheless, some analysts said that it seems that Senador Obama - the one who was expected as inclined to change - will continue with Bush tendency based on a realistic and continuistic inspiration. This due to his progressive evolution from very radicals postures and in some cases less realistic to closer positions to the U.S. national and vital interests defense line.

The Russian decision of installing missiles in the Poland frontier, threatening directly Europe, must move the U.S. government to rethink its posture about the decision of maintain the anti missile shield. This is a relevant matter which will incide in the U.S.- Russian relations.

What is desirable is that both nations should have cooperation and not conflict relations, but what should happen to do that? The first step must be given by one country and there is no doubt that this step will leave it in a position of weakness. However the reality has demonstrated that the ghosts of the cold war are still alive affecting the relations and strategies.

The new administration is facing a new strategic vision because  the current priority is focused to the financial crisis and a possible recession and the public opinion is concern about it. However the long term U.S. foreign policy is facing big challenges as the climate change and the no proliferation which are fostered by a decreasing in economic growth and the global financial problems. It will be necessary to observe the geopolitical consequences and the impact of the international security crisis. Russia is waiting to negotiate from a position of strength with the new administration, strongly defending its national interests. For this reason is important to be alert about the U.S.- Russian relations.

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